Griper Blade: Nothing Will Happen if You Don't Vote!

At least one analyst is saying that dems will take the Senate and I can't find anyone credible who's predicting that they won't take the House. A lot has been made of a last minute tightening in Senate polling, but this shouldn't really surprise anyone -- you'd imagine that undecides are becoming decided at this point. And it I think that 'undecided' can often be described as 'torn'. That would mean they could really go either way.

On the tightening:

Political Wire:

A new Pew Research survey "finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign. The new survey finds a growing percentage of likely voters saying they will vote for GOP candidates. However, the Democrats still hold a 48% to 40% lead among registered voters, and a modest lead of 47% to 43% among likely voters."

However, another Political Wire story shows that dems still hold a real advantage -- their voters are more likely to actually vote. One indicator is that the RNC compensation for 'volunteers' has gone from $75 to $100 per day.

TIME:

With just three days left until the midterm elections, a new poll commissioned by TIME shows that Republicans may be approaching voting day without one of the big advantages they enjoyed in November 2004 — their ability to motivate supporters to go out and vote. Among registered Democrats polled, 52% say they're more enthusiastic about voting than usual, compared with just 39% of Republicans. Thirty-seven percent of Republican respondents are less enthusiastic than usual, while only 29% of Democrats feel that way.

This may make the tightening of races for the Senate a wash. None of the polls mean anything if the respondents don't actually vote...

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