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Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Poll: Dems Poised to Pick Up 45 House Seats

Are House Democrats on the verge of an unprecedented second "wave election" in a row -- one that could win them up to another 45 House seats?

That's the astonishing finding of a new survey by the Democracy Corps, the Democratic polling firm run by Stan Greenberg and James Carville.

The new survey polled 1,600 people across 45 GOP-held districts, ranging from the competitive Tier 1 to harder-to-reach Tier 2 with the named incumbents and their opponents used instead of generic match-ups. The aggregate results showed the Democratic candidate winning the Tier 1 races 51%-42%, and the edging out the GOP 48%-45% in the Tier 2 match-ups, though they trailed 43%-51% in the "rural/small town" category.

Will the dem presidential nominee benefit from a 'reverse coattails' effect? It kind of seems that way.

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