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Thursday, January 01, 2009

How Wall Street's Loss May be Labor's Gain

clipped from www.prospect.org

The lead article in the New Year's Day edition of the Washington Post bemoaned the loss of $6.9 trillion in value in U.S. stock market last year. While those who own large amounts of stock have reason to shed tears, this may end being good news for the rest of us.

The loss of stock wealth means that stockholders have less claim to value of the country's output. The U.S. economy can produce just as much in 2009 as it did in 2008 (in fact somewhat more, because of labor force and productivity growth). If stockholders can demand less because of the reduced value of their stock, then this leaves more for the rest of us.

The most visible evidence of how the loss of stockholder wealth can benefit the rest of us was the sharp decline in consumer prices over the last three months. As a result, real wages rose at almost a 15 percent annual rate in the three months from September through November.
From economic media critic Dean Baker, whose blog I really need to check more often. Baker goes on to explain how a loss of demand from Wall St. types could be made up. "Eventually weakness in the labor market will put more downward pressure on real wages," he writes. "However, if the loss of demand from stockholders is effectively replaced by demand from the government or foreign sector, then the vast majority of the country will be made better off by this plunge in stock prices."

Yet another argument in favor of a second New Deal.

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