The electoral math seems daunting. As of today and based on state polling averages,
Talking Points Memo gives President Obama 313 electoral votes to Mitt Romney's 191.
Electoral-Vote.com is more generous in handing out leaners and has it 328 Obama, 206 Romney. Finally,
Real Clear Politics has the numbers as 247 Obama, 191 Romney. While 270 electoral votes are needed to win and Obama falls short of that mark in almost everyone's count, Romney has a lot more ground to cover.
And it's clear that Romney's the one losing steam here. After pretty much writing off women, Latinos, gays, Muslims, African-Americans, etc., he's finding constituencies he's relying on slipping away as well. Older voters, concerned with Paul Ryan's Medicare-slaying plans, have moved away from Mitt. Romney's support among the 60-plus crowd has
dropped from a 20-point lead to four -- in the past two weeks. He's hemorrhaging seniors. More telling, the Republican candidate is
now losing among NASCAR fans -- 48%-41%. This is a group of mostly southern whites who can normally be counted on breaking Republican. All the news for the GOP is soulcrushingly bad -- until you look closely, then it's even worse.
I say that because
The American Conservative's Noah Millman takes that close look at the race and sees disaster -- not only for their presidential candidate, but for the Republican Party as a whole. The turning point was the conventions and things have just kept going south since then...[
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