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Monday, October 15, 2012

Some election projections to put a spring back in your step

Via Ezra Klein:

Drew Linzer’s Latest Projection

Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206

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FiveThirtyEight’s Latest Projection

Electoral Vote: Obama: 289.2; Romney: 248.8

Chance of winning: Obama: 66.0%; Romney: 34.0%

Popular Vote: Obama: 50.1%; Romney: 48.8%

Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 86.4%; Republicans: 13.6%

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Sam Wang’s Latest Projection

Presidential: Obama: 280; Romney: 258

Senate: 54 D/I, 46 R (95% CI: 51-56D/I)

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