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Sunday, June 01, 2008

Annenberg Fact Check: Clinton's Poll, Popular Vote Claims 'Misleading'

clipped from www.factcheck.org
The debt-strapped Clinton campaign is appealing for money with an e-mail telling potential donors that polls "consistently" show she would beat McCain in November, and that she's leading Obama in the popular vote. We find both claims are misleading.


  • A number of recent polls actually show Clinton tied with McCain, or even trailing. For most of 2008, polls have shown McCain ahead.



  • She can claim to have won more votes than Obama only by counting Michigan, a primary where Obama was not on the ballot and which Clinton once said "isn't going to count for anything."

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I'd add that polls don't mean crap until about a month before the election -- if that far out. Polls at this point in the game are pretty much meaningless, which the variance in polling data clearly demonstrates.

So Hillary's polling claims are not only misleading, they're irrelevant.

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