THE LATEST
« »

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Gallup Daily: Obama Back in the Lead

clipped from www.gallup.com
The Sept. 14-16 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama regaining a slight, although not statistically significant, edge over John McCain, 47% to 45%, among registered voters, marking the first time since the week of the Republican National Convention that McCain has not held at least a one percentage point margin over Obama.
km1bsuulfesscmtraih9pw

From a broad perspective, the race remains a statistical tie. But there has been a general drift towards Obama since McCain moved to a five-point lead over Obama through the weekend after the GOP convention.

Gallup Poll Daily tracking data show that in each of these individual days (Monday and Tuesday) consumer ratings of the U.S. economy have become more negative. Similarly, in each of these individual days' interviewing, Obama has led McCain in election tracking.
I'm not yet vindicated, but I'm halfway there. I've been saying that McCain's numbers are a post-convention bounce -- that they'd come down again. I've also been saying that McCain knows this and that's why he's not acting like a candidate who's winning.

McCain is trending downward and, although bad economic news probably doesn't help, that trend began before Monday. As it has been throughout, this election is Barack Obama's to lose.

Search Archive:

Custom Search