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Monday, September 15, 2008

Griper Blade: Stealing the Battleground

It was a rough week for the McCain-Palin ticket, topped off by a bad weekend. They took a beating on the Sunday talk shows, Karl Rove got a little off message and told FOX News Sunday that the McCain campaign are "attributing to Obama things that are … beyond the 100 percent truth test," and the news broke that Alaska is still pursuing a federally-funded "bridge to nowhere."

The problem with running a campaign of lies is one of probability. The more lies you tell, the more likely it is you'll be called on some of them -- the more lies you tell, the more likely it is that some will come back to bite you in the ass. Both McCain and Palin sport bite marks today. And it's beginning to look like Palin's honeymoon may be ending.

Open Left:

The Research 2000 poll for dKos released Sept. 11 shows Palin at 52% favorable, 35% unfavorable, a 17-point net positive. Over the next several days look at the trend:

Sept. 11: +17 point net positive

Sept. 12: +14 point

Sept. 13: +9

Sept. 14: +5

Palin's unfavorables are up to 42 while here favorables are down to 47. Her Charlie Gibson interview and generally bad press for the McCain-Palin ticket are taking a toll. Here are Barack Obama's net positives for the same four days: 16, 16, 14 and 15 today. Joe Biden: 19, 19, 18 and 16 today. As for McCain, a similar pattern to Palin only not as steep a decline: 11, 13, 12 and 9.


This backs up what I've been saying all along; McCain's current poll numbers are artificial and, as such, not extremely good. He got a bump after the Republican National Convention and a bump from his selection of an unknown as VP and he still can only manage a tie...

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