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Friday, October 23, 2009

GOP Approvals the Lowest in At Least a Decade

I'm still trying to figure out where this "2010 is going to be a big GOP year" stuff is coming from. Every time I see a poll, there's no evidence to support the idea at all. Case in point, this CNN story titled "CNN Poll: GOP favorable rating lowest in a decade:

Sinking shipThe Republican Party's favorable rating among Americans is at lowest level in at least a decade, according to a new national poll.

Thirty-six percent of people questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Friday say they have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party, with 54 percent viewing the GOP negatively.

According to the poll, 53 percent have a positive opinion of the Democratic Party, with 41 percent holding an unfavorable view. The survey indicates that favorable ratings for the Democrats have dropped 5 points since February, with the Republican number slipping 3 points.

"The Republican party may still be battling the legacy left to them by George W. Bush," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "They have also spent a lot of time in 2009 working against Democratic proposals. That hasn't left them a lot of time so far this year to present a positive, post-Bush message. Of course, there is still plenty of time for them to do so before the 2010 midterms."

Nearly seven in ten people questioned say they disapprove of how Congress is handling its job, with 29 percent saying they approve. That's a drop of 6 points in the approval since April.

Parties heading toward an electoral blowout tend not to drop in the polls beforehand. Still, pollster Stuart Rothenberg says it may not be all that bleak for the GOP. "The problem for Democrats is that the midterm elections are going to be about the Democratic Congress," he says.

Actually, if decent healthcare reform goes through, that's going to be a problem for Republicans, not Democrats. Besides, people's attitudes toward congress seem to be about other people's representatives, not their own. People generally have a better opinion of their own guy -- whether or not they're any good -- than they do of all the other guys.

But will the big issue in 2010 be "Democrats suck, so let's elect people we think suck even more?"

I'm sorry, but that's not any platform I'd want to run on.


Anonymous said...

The "2010 comeback" was just another planted meme that the population isn't grabbing on to. Grasstoots if you ask me.

Human said...

I predict that an act(s) of violence by one or more of the Sick Far Right will totally destroy any chance of the Republicans recovering. I predicted that their rhetoric and actions would grow even more insane and violent as they saw their influence dwindle post '08 elections and it has.

vet said...

Yeah, that's all very fine... but as you know perfectly well, "they SUCK!" is actually the most powerful rallying cry in America. You're using it yourself on a daily basis: I don't see you saying how good the Democrats are, just how much the Republicans suck.

"Decent healthcare reform" - do you really see that happening? "Decent" reform, to me, would deliver at least one of two things: 100% coverage, or dramatically lower costs of care, comparable with, say, France or Germany. No bill I've yet heard of promises either of those things.

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