Some of you know that I'm extremely cautious about making predictions. They have a bad tendency to come back and bite you in the ass. When I do, I always make sure to include plenty of qualifiers and always make it clear that I'm speaking from one moment in history -- the future is not written yet, so any forecasts can't be presented as fact.
Occasionally, however, it's completely unavoidable and you have to write about what you think will happen. Especially in a presidential campaign. With all eyes on the future, you really can't speak only of the present. We live in the present and so do the facts, but the future is where our goals are and it's in the future that all the candidates place most of their rhetoric. In an election, the future is the topic of discussion.
Prior to Super Tuesday, I wrote that Hillary Clinton had yet to actually win a contest. Her two popular vote victories were a tie and a loss in terms of delegates, so I wrote this:
Which puts the momentum behind Obama, who isn't losing any time capitalizing on it. Depending on when you read this, Sen. Ted Kennedy either will or has endorsed Obama. Kennedy's endorsement adds dem leadership to the Obama camp, which earlier scored a big win with Sen. John Kerry's endorsement -- which assumedly comes with the "Golden Rolodex" of fundraising contacts from Kerry's '04 run.
Although Associated Press has found that it's mathematically impossible for anyone to claim the nomination even after Super Tuesday, you could argue that -- at this point in time, at least -- the primaries are Obama's to lose. The man is on a roll.
And so, the rolling Barack Obama rolls on...
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