The end has begun. Tracking the dwindling odds that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic party nominee is "HIllary Deathwatch," at Slate. In the tradition of the Gonzo-Meter, which tracked the likelihood that disgraced then-Attorney General Alberto Gonzales would resign, Hillary Deathwatch promises to show Clinton's slow slide into primary defeat. The first post thursday wastes no time getting to the point.Hillary Clinton is as good as dead. This became the consensus over the past week, when the media awoke en masse to the dual reality that 1) Clinton can't close the pledged-delegate gap and 2) Obama has her beat in the popular vote. But the Clinton campaign shows no signs of slowing -- she said herself she's prepared to compete for at least three more months. So the question now is not just "How dead is she?" but "When will she realize it?"
That first post put Clinton's chances at "a generous 12 percent," noting that "a Clinton campaign official gave her one-in-10 odds." By friday, thursday had become Clinton's halcyon days. Slate now puts her chances at 10.3%. This came after a few high profile Democrats came out and called on her to quit the race. Apparently, everyone but Team Clinton sees the danger of her becoming Hillary Rodham Nader, splitting the party and throwing away its chances in '08.
Already, polls show that a significant percentage of the voters of each camp would rather vote for McCain than the opponent in their own party. There's a word for the people who are actually sincere about this -- dumbasses...
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